Managing Volatility In A Financial Portfolio: Lessons To Learn From The Past Decade

Portfolio volatility refers to the degree of fluctuation in the overall value of an investment portfolio over time. While market ups and downs are natural, unmanaged volatility can derail long-term goals. Investors often react emotionally during turbulent periods, making impulsive decisions that harm returns. Managing volatility is thus essential to maintain consistency, support compounding, and ensure that portfolios stay aligned with long-term objectives.

Over the last decade, financial markets experienced significant volatility driven by four major sources. First, global uncertainties such as Brexit (2016), the US-China trade war (2018-2020), and the COVID-19 pandemic (2020) disrupted investor sentiment and economic activity worldwide. Second, central bank policy shifts-including interest rate changes and liquidity interventions by institutions like the US Federal Reserve and the Reserve Bank of India-had a profound impact on capital flows and market dynamics.

Third, geopolitical tensions such as the Russia-Ukraine conflict (2022) and resulting supply chain shocks contributed to inflation spikes and risk aversion. Fourth, domestic policy reforms in India-including demonetization (2016), the rollout of the Goods and Services Tax (2017), and recent inflationary pressures (2022-2023)-added layers of economic uncertainty. These events collectively triggered sharp and often unpredictable movements across asset classes, underscoring the need for robust and diversified portfolios.

Here are some lessons learned over the last ten years about managing volatility in a financial portfolio, based on an interview with Prashasta Seth, CEO of Prudent Investment Managers LLP.

How did different asset classes respond to periods of high volatility during the last decade?

As per Prashasta Seth - CEO, Prudent Investment Managers LLP, asset classes responded differently to volatility, highlighting the importance of diversification and long-term discipline.

• Equities: Highly sensitive to news; experienced sharp corrections but strong recoveries-rewarded patient investors.
• Debt Instruments: Short-duration and high-quality bonds offered stability and acted as effective shock absorbers.
• Gold: Performed well during crises, serving as a hedge against uncertainty and inflation.
• Real Estate & International Assets: Delivered mixed results, emphasizing the need for strategic diversification over chasing returns.

What basic strategies can be used to reduce or manage portfolio volatility?

Simple, disciplined strategies can help investors reduce volatility and stay on track during market fluctuations.

• Diversification: Invest across asset class assets.
• Goal-Based Planning: Align investments with time horizons and risk tolerance.
• Periodic Rebalancing: Adjust asset mix regularly to maintain the original strategy.
• Emergency Fund: Keep liquidity to handle crises without disrupting long-term investments.

What simple lessons have we learned about maintaining a stable portfolio during uncertain market conditions?

Consistent, disciplined investing and sound asset allocation are key to navigating volatility and building long-term wealth.

• Discipline over Timing: Avoid reactive decisions
• Stay Invested: Time in the market is more powerful than trying to time it. Its better to do periodic rebalancing from time to time rather than take extreme views on the market
• Asset Allocation Matters: A balanced portfolio absorbs shocks better. Risk adjusted returns is thus a better matrix to look at rather than only focussing on returns
• Accept Volatility: It's normal-panic isn't.
• Build Thoughtfully: A well-constructed portfolio supports confidence during market swings.

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