Stock Market Outlook Today: Sensex, Nifty Likely to Remain Volatile Amid Global Cues, Key Support at 24,900

Indian stock markets are expected to open on a cautious note on Friday, September 26, 2025, after a sharp five-day losing streak. With the Nifty slipping below the crucial 25,000 mark and global sentiment remaining weak due to rising crude oil prices, a strong US dollar, and concerns over India-US trade relations, market participants may continue to exhibit risk-averse behaviour.

Analysts expect volatility to persist as investors react to key US economic data and monitor technical support levels on the Nifty and Bank Nifty charts.

Stock Market Outlook Today For September 26, 2025

Indian equities extended their losing streak to a fifth session on September 25, with the Nifty breaching the 24,900 level as persistent profit‑taking, continued foreign fund withdrawals and uncertainty around US-India trade negotiations fueled worries over a possible Q2 GDP slowdown as per Bajaj Broking Research.

At day's end, the Sensex dropped 555.95 points (0.68%) to 81,159.68, while the Nifty slid 166.05 points (0.66%) to 24,890.85.

Markets were also pressured by a strengthening US dollar and rising crude prices, which amplified concerns about fiscal strain and further capital outflows.

From top brokerage firm, Motilal Oswal, Siddhartha Khemka said that Indian equities "extended losses for the fifth straight session," as Nifty slipped below 25,000. He cited persistent FII outflows and concerns over U.S. visa restrictions as key headwinds.

Stocks in Focus Today: Sector-wise Stocks Performance Trends

Sectorally, only metals managed a gain (0.22%), whereas consumer durables, auto, power, IT, and realty all suffered losses between 1% and 1.6%. The midcap and small‑cap indices slipped 0.64% and 0.57%, respectively, reflecting broad weakness.

Most sectors closed in the red, especially Realty and IT, while metals stood out as the lone gainer-supported by strength in names like Hindustan Copper and Vedanta. Looking ahead, global cues, macroeconomic data, and developments in the India-US trade deal could dictate near‑term market direction as per Mr. Khemka.

Nifty Prediction Today: What Should Traders Expect on 26 September 2025?

According to Bajaj Broking, "on the daily chart the index has formed a bearish candle with a lower high and lower low, indicating continuation of the decline for the fifth session in a row." It note that the Nifty has been undergoing a mean‑reverting pullback, dragging it toward its 50‑day EMA, which coincides with the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the previous move (24,405 to 25,448).

The daily stochastic has slipped into oversold territory, a sign of exhaustion. The only way to signal a pause in the decline would be the formation of a higher high and higher low.

The brokerage places immediate support at 24,900, backed by the 50‑day EMA and retracement zone. A sustained break below this could see downward pressure extend toward 24,700, aligning with the 100‑day EMA and the 61.8% retracement level.

Bank Nifty Outlook Today: Consolidation to Continue, Eyes on 57,000

On Bank Nifty, Bajaj Broking observed that the index "formed a bearish candle with a lower high and lower low on the daily chart, indicating extension of the corrective decline." After a sharp rally of nearly 2,300 points over three weeks, the index appears to be cooling off. It is expected to trade within a 54,700-56,000 range. Support is seen in the 54,700-54,900 zone with deeper support at 54,000, while resistance lies near 56,000. A breakout above 56,000 could open the path toward 57,000.

Disclaimer

The views and recommendations expressed are solely those of the individual analysts or entities and do not reflect the views of Goodreturns.in or Greynium Information Technologies Private Limited (together referred as "we"). We do not guarantee, endorse or take responsibility for the accuracy, completeness or reliability of any content, nor do we provide any investment advice or solicit the purchase or sale of securities. All information is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should be independently verified from licensed financial advisors before making any investment decisions.