Stock Market Outlook: Sensex, Nifty Likely to Trade Sideways as Volatility Spikes; Watch FMCG, PSU Banks, IT

Indian equity markets are likely to trade with a sideways to mildly positive bias on October 14, as investors digest recent gains, monitor global trade developments, and track second-quarter earnings. After halting a two-day rally on Monday, the Sensex and Nifty may now enter a consolidation phase, supported by strong institutional flows but capped by global uncertainty.

Stock Market Outlook Today For 14 October 2025

On Monday, Indian benchmarks closed marginally lower. The Nifty50 slipped 58 points (0.23%) to end at 25,227, while the Sensex shed 173.8 points to close at 82,327. This pullback was primarily attributed to profit-booking at elevated valuations and renewed US-China trade tensions, following US President Trump's announcement of 100% tariffs on Chinese imports effective November 1. Volatility spiked sharply, with India VIX jumping nearly 9%, reflecting growing caution.

According to Siddhartha Khemka, Head of Research at Motilal Oswal Financial Services, "Indian equities ended on a flattish note, halting a two-day winning streak amid renewed global trade tensions that dampened sentiment... Volatility spiked, with India VIX surging nearly 9%, reflecting heightened risk aversion."

Nifty Prediction Today: Index May Consolidate With Positive Bias

As per Bajaj Broking, the Nifty has already rallied around 700 points in the last two weeks, pushing stochastic indicators into the overbought zone, suggesting some cooling off may occur.

"The index has formed a small bullish candle within the previous session's range, indicating a phase of consolidation with positive bias," Bajaj Brokerage said in its technical note.

Support is now seen around the 25,000-25,100 zone, aligning with swing lows and key moving averages. A breakout above 25,330 (last week's high) may confirm trend continuation, potentially pushing the index towards 25,450, which marks the upper boundary of the ongoing consolidation pattern.

Bank Nifty Outlook For 14 October; More Upside Likely

Banking stocks continue to show relative strength. Bank Nifty formed a higher high and higher low for the second straight session. The index is now approaching key resistance levels.

"We expect the index to head towards immediate resistance of 57,000. A move above this could take it to the all-time high near 57,600," Bajaj Brokerage said.

Immediate support is placed at 56,200-56,300, while major support lies at 55,600-55,800.

Stocks in Focus Today: Watch FMCG, IT and PSU Banks

Selling pressure was evident in FMCG and IT stocks, with both sectors declining nearly 0.9% and 0.8% respectively on Monday. These segments may continue to face headwinds from global cues and valuation pressures. On the other hand, PSU banks and healthcare have shown resilience and may remain in focus for rotational buying.

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