Stock Market Weekly Forecast: Sensex, Nifty's Bullish Momentum to Continue Sept 15–19 Amid Fed Rate Cut Hopes

The Indian stock market heads into the week of September 15-19 with bullish momentum, as benchmark indices closed higher for the eighth straight session, buoyed by strong global cues, policy optimism, and renewed investor confidence.

Stock Market Weekly Forecast For September 15 to 19: Key Drivers to Watch This Week

Siddhartha Khemka, Head of Research, Wealth Management, Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd said, "Nifty extended its winning streak for the eighth straight session, gaining 102 points to close at 25,108 (+0.4%), in line with a global rally as hopes of a US Fed rate cut next week buoyed investor sentiment. The broader market maintained momentum with Nifty Midcap100 and Smallcap100 up 0.3% and 0.6%, respectively."

Fed Rate Cut in Focus: US Federal Reserve's Policy Decision

Several macro and global developments are expected to guide the market's trajectory in the coming week. The most critical among them is the US Federal Reserve's policy decision, where a 25-bps rate cut is widely expected.

However, any surprise announcement, such as a more aggressive cut could further fuel the rally in Indian equities by increasing global liquidity and risk appetite. Additional global factors like interest rate announcements from the Bank of England and Bank of Japan could also sway investor sentiment across emerging markets, including India.

US President Donald Trump's Visit To India (Expected)

On the geopolitical front, Donald Trump's anticipated visit to India later this year has lifted hopes for positive developments in the India-US trade relationship. This, along with encouraging progress in India-EU trade deal negotiations, has provided an added layer of optimism. Market watchers believe that easing trade tensions and reduced tariff threats could support India's export-driven sectors and improve overall foreign investor sentiment.

FII Inflows, Dollar Weakness and Policy Support Fuel Market Optimism

Meanwhile, Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) have turned net buyers, showing renewed interest in Indian equities across both cash and F&O segments. Should the trend of FII inflows continue, especially amid signs of global dollar weakness and local economic resilience, it could significantly reinforce the bullish trend in the near term. On the domestic policy front, GST reforms and robust macroeconomic indicators are contributing to positive market undertones.

Sensex, Nifty Prediction This Week For September 13, 2025 To September 19, 2025

For the week of September 15-19, the Sensex is expected to trade with an upward bias. A move above the 82,000 psychological level could attract fresh buying interest, with the next resistance zone around 82,400-82,800. Support lies at 81,200, below which profit-booking could intensify.

The Nifty 50 has broken out of a downtrend, forming a bullish candle on both daily and weekly charts with a consistent higher-high, higher-low pattern over the past five sessions. The index reclaimed its quarterly VWAP and aligned with bullish weekly moving averages, suggesting that the medium-term trend remains positive.

"It formed a bullish candle on daily and weekly frame and has been making higher highs - higher lows from the last five sessions. Now it has hold above 25050 zones for an up move towards 25250 then 25350 zones while supports have shifted higher to 25000 then 24900 zones," as MOSt Market Roundup report stated.

According to Bajaj Broking's commentary, "Nifty closed above the falling trendline joining the highs of July and August, signaling strength and initial signs of reversal after the last two months' corrective decline."

Immediate resistance is seen at 25,200-25,250, which coincides with a prior swing high and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the previous decline (25,669-24,337). A decisive close above 25,250 would confirm the trend reversal and could open the door to further upside towards 25,500 in the coming weeks.

On the downside, support is seen at 24,900, with short-term supports placed at 24,600-24,700. From a derivatives perspective, maximum Call Open Interest (OI) is concentrated at 25,200 and 25,300, while maximum Put OI stands at 25,000 and 25,100, indicating that 25,000 is a strong support zone. Option data suggests a broader trading range of 24,600-25,500, with the immediate range between 24,900-25,300.

Bank Nifty Weekly Projection

Bajaj Broking report further stated, "The Bank Nifty on the weekly chart has formed a bull candle with a higher high and higher low signaling extension of the pullback for the 2nd week in a row.Index in the last two weeks has seen a pullback from the 200-day EMA. Following a phase of consolidation around this crucial moving average, the index has absorbed selling pressure and is now positioning itself for the next leg of its up move. Index has immediate resistance at 55000 levels, a move above the same will open further upside towards 55,800 levels in the coming weeks. Immediate support is placed at 54,000 levels holding above the same will keep the bias positive."

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