Stock Market Outlook Today: Bullish Run for Sensex, Nifty Expected; Fed Rate Cut Hopes Support Sentiment

The Indian equity markets are poised to continue their positive momentum on September 15, following an impressive eighth consecutive session of gains. The Sensex closed 356 points higher at 81,904, nearing the 82,000 mark, while the Nifty crossed the 25,100 level, closing at 25,114.

This bullish trend is largely driven by optimism around the India-US trade deal, strong global equities, and widespread expectations of a US Federal Reserve rate cut in the upcoming policy meeting.

Stock Market Outlook For September 15, 2025

The Nifty 50 also rose 109 points, or 0.43%, ending at 25,114. This broad market rally has been fuelled by a combination of strong domestic fundamentals, positive global cues, and heightened optimism around ongoing India-US trade negotiations.

Investor sentiment has been further buoyed by hopes that the US Federal Reserve will announce a rate cut at its policy meeting next week, following US inflation data that largely met market expectations. Global equity markets mirrored this optimism, with US indices closing at record highs and Asian stocks also rallying.

Globally, US markets closed at record highs, supported by inflation data aligning with expectations and reinforcing the probability of a 25 basis points Fed rate cut. Investors will also closely monitor rate decisions from the Bank of England and the Bank of Japan, which could influence global liquidity and risk sentiment.

Stocks in Focus Today: Sector-wise Stocks Performance Trends

Sectorally, defence and metals are expected to maintain their upward trajectory. The Nifty Defence index surged over 4% on fresh order wins and a robust 15-year modernisation roadmap unveiled by the Ministry of Defence, signaling sustained investor interest.

Similarly, the Nifty Metal index rose 1%, bolstered by rising base metal prices on the London Metal Exchange, with stocks like Hindustan Zinc and National Aluminium showing notable gains.

In contrast, FMCG, Media, and Oil & Gas underperformed last week, and may see subdued action unless triggered by specific news or policy measures.

Siddhartha Khemka, Head of Research at Motilal Oswal Financial Services, highlights that "Nifty extended its winning streak for the eighth straight session, gaining 102 points to close at 25,108 (+0.4%), in line with a global rally as hopes of a US Fed rate cut next week buoyed investor sentiment." He added that the broader market, including Nifty Midcap100 and Smallcap100, showed healthy gains, supported by sectors such as financial services and metals.

Nifty Prediction Today: Technical & Derivative Outlook By Market Experts

Technically, the Nifty has broken out above a falling trendline connecting the highs of July and August 2025, which indicates a bullish reversal from the recent corrective phase. The index has formed a bullish candle on both the daily and weekly charts, maintaining a higher-high, higher-low structure for five consecutive sessions as per Bajaj Brokering nifty outlook commentary.

Immediate resistance is seen at 25,200-25,250, which coincides with a prior swing high and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the previous decline (25,669-24,337). A decisive close above 25,250 would confirm the trend reversal and could open the door to further upside towards 25,500 in the coming weeks.

On the downside, support is seen at 24,900, with short-term supports placed at 24,600-24,700. From a derivatives perspective, maximum Call Open Interest (OI) is concentrated at 25,200 and 25,300, while maximum Put OI stands at 25,000 and 25,100, indicating that 25,000 is a strong support zone. Option data suggests a broader trading range of 24,600-25,500, with the immediate range between 24,900-25,300.

Bank Nifty Prediction for September 15, 2025

According to Bajaj Broking's report on Bank Nifty, the index has formed a bullish candle with higher highs and higher lows for the second week in a row, indicating a strong pullback from the 200-day EMA. "Immediate resistance is at 55,000 levels, a move above which could open further upside towards 55,800 levels in the coming weeks," the report states. Support remains firm at 54,000, suggesting a positive bias as long as this level holds.

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