Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell Affirms Wait-and-See Approach on Interest Rates Despite Trump's Demands

The Federal Reserve plans to maintain its current interest rate policy, according to Chair Jerome Powell. This approach contrasts with President Donald Trump's demands for immediate rate cuts. "For the time being, we are well positioned to wait to learn more about the likely course of the economy before considering any adjustments to our policy stance," Powell stated in prepared remarks for the House Financial Services Committee.

Powell is set to face intense questioning on Capitol Hill over two days. Trump has been vocal in his criticism, urging the Fed to lower borrowing costs. Despite this, Powell has often found support within Congress, which he cites as a defense against Trump's criticisms. However, this backing might diminish if Trump's attacks continue.

Interest Rate Decisions and Economic Impact

The Federal Reserve's 19-member committee, led by Powell, decides on interest rate changes. They typically raise rates to control inflation and lower them to stimulate a weak economy. Last week, the committee unanimously voted to keep rates unchanged but released forecasts indicating potential future cuts. Seven members predicted no cuts this year, two anticipated one cut, and ten foresaw at least two reductions.

In February, during Powell's last congressional appearance, Rep. French Hill urged him to ensure inflation aligns with the Fed's 2% target. Achieving this usually requires keeping rates high. Powell noted that recent tariff increases might temporarily raise prices and affect economic activity. He emphasized the Fed's duty to prevent temporary price hikes from becoming persistent inflation issues.

Trump's Criticism and Economic Concerns

Trump criticized Powell again on social media, calling him "very dumb" and "hardheaded." He expressed hope that Congress would challenge Powell's decisions. Trump wants the Fed to cut rates to reduce government interest payments on national debt. However, the Fed focuses on economic health and inflation rather than government financing costs when setting rates.

Despite concerns about tariffs causing inflation, consumer prices have remained stable this year. The consumer price index increased by just 0.1% from April to May, indicating muted price pressures. While some goods' prices rose last month, declines in services like airfares and hotels offset these increases.

Potential Rate Cuts and Future Outlook

Powell suggested last week that the Fed would monitor economic developments over the summer before deciding on rate cuts. His comments implied that any reduction might not happen until September. However, Michelle Bowman and Christopher Waller, both appointed by Trump, hinted at possible cuts as early as July.

Waller stated in a television interview that reducing government borrowing costs is not the Fed's responsibility; it's up to Congress and the White House to address budget deficits. Meanwhile, Trump claimed that while the European Central Bank cut its rate ten times recently, the Fed hasn't done so at all. In reality, the ECB reduced its rate eight times in the past year, while the Fed made three cuts late last year.

The Fed paused further rate reductions due to concerns about tariffs inflating prices. Trump's tariffs include a 10% duty on all imports and additional levies on goods from China and other sectors like steel and autos. Despite these measures, inflation has cooled this year.

The Federal Reserve remains cautious about adjusting its key interest rate amid ongoing economic uncertainties and political pressures. The focus remains on monitoring economic indicators closely before making any policy changes.

With inputs from PTI